DSAI will not be PM this week!
“Thank God I have solid and convincing support from MPs to be presented to the Agong,…. Conclusively, we have a strong, formidable majority, I’m not talking about four or five or six, I’m talking about much more than that.“ DSAI claims that he has the majority to form government. The devil is in the details.
When TSMY became Prime Minister in March this year, Malaysia did not have a Prime Minister in office. The then Prime Minister, Tun Dr. Mahathir had resigned and was the interim Prime Minister. There was a vacancy in the PMO.
What the YDPA had to decide was who, between Tun Mahathir and TSMY, had the majority to form a government. Long story short, the YDPA appointed TSMY as the Prime Minister.
The king is a constitutional monarch and he does not have the right and authority to dismiss the prime minister.
*Can the Yang di-Pertuan Agong dismiss the Prime Minister?** The Yang di-Pertuan Agong has discretionary powers to choose who he wants as the prime minister if no party has won a majority vote and is not bound by the decision of the outgoing prime minister (Article 40).
It, however, does not afford him the right and authority to dismiss the prime minister.
Anwar said he would meet the King on Tuesday 13th October “At the meeting, I will present documentation of the strong and convincing majority of MPs “ and by so doing, DSAI tells us that TSMY’s government will “jatuh”.
DSAI is the leader of the Opposition and when the leader of the Opposition requests an audience with the King, the King will oblige. What will the YDPA do at that meeting on Tuesday? He will listen when Anwar tells him that he has “a strong, formidable majority” in Parliament. And that is what the YDPA will do. Listen. The YDPA cannot dismiss TSMY as Prime Minister.
So for those of you who are waiting for DSAI to become Prime Minister after his audience with YDPA this Tuesday…perish that thought. At best the YDPA will summon TSMY to the Palace and ask TSMY if he still commands a majority in Parliament. And at best TSMY, if he is so inclined, he will tell the YDPA to dissolve parliament and call fresh elections.
Or, as he is most likely to do, TSMY will inform the YDPA that the best thing to do would be to ask DSAI to prove that he has a strong and formidable majority in the best place to do so…in Parliament. How long will that process take? A few weeks…a few months?
Maybe when TSMY table his budget DSAI can muster his formidable majority and not allow the budget to pass muster and that will prove that TSMY does not have the majority to take his Budget through parliament.
If that happens, TSMY can no longer govern. He will tell the YDPA to dissolve parliament and call fresh elections. Elections must be held within sixty days of the dissolution. So at the very best, this TSMY back door government will not “jatuh” for another sixty days.
We are now in the midst of a deadly COVID 19 pandemic. Maybe the DG of Health may say ”the situation is grim and there should not be an election until the second half of next year!”
If this Backdoor Government is to listen to the DG of Health’s advice, that means no election until August 2021.
TSMY’s back door government will not “jatuh” for another eleven months, or for at least another 300 days!
And even then, TSMY’s government will only “jatuh” if DSAI wins that election. Then and only then, will DSAI be installed as Prime Minister. Any way you want to spin it, for sure TSMY government will not fall after DSAI meets with the YDPA this Tuesday 13 October 2020.
It will not fall in the month of October, November, or December if TSMY wants to cling to government. And maybe if the DG of Health has anything to do with it, we will not have an election until late 2021.
Common sense tells us all that nobody should announce that he or she will be PM until he or she really is PM. Kan? Now here is the question in my head. Saya yang duduk 6000km di Melbourne understands the process DSAI has to go through before he can become Prime Minister.
There are many people out there in Bolehland who also knows this. There is no need for DSAI to tell us that he has a formidable majority to enable him to take government, nor does DSAI have to tell the YDPA that he has a formidable majority in Parliament to enable him to govern.
So pray tell me brother Anwar, if I can work this out from 6000 km away, why can’t you? Enough said.